By DynastyMath Staff · Published · Numbers as of November 10, 2026 · 5 min read
Start the high number. Break ties with recent scoring. Every projection here is PPR points for Week 10, as of Nov 10, 2026, and status is the tag exactly as listed. One trap first: 10 players listed Out still carry a projection of 10 or more, and Garrett Wilson leads them at 14.3. They are left out of the tiers.
How the tiers work. Inside each position, Tier 1 is any player less than 3 points under the top projection. Tier 2 is 3 to 6 back and Tier 3 is 6 to 9. Players in a tier are close enough to swap, so fill Tier 1 before anything else. Rows below show the top of each position, not the whole list.
Quarterbacks
| Tier | Player | Proj | Season PPG | Last 3 | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Allen (BUF) | 26.1 | 25.8 | 19.2 | Active |
| 2 | Drake Maye (NE) | 23 | 21.1 | 22.7 | Active |
| 2 | Brock Purdy (SF) | 22.9 | 22 | 18.2 | Active |
| 2 | Joe Burrow (CIN) | 22.4 | 25.6 | 32.6 | Active |
| 2 | Trevor Lawrence (JAX) | 21.5 | 18.9 | 20.1 | Active |
| 2 | Tyler Shough (NO) | 21.3 | 19 | 20.2 | Active |
Josh Allen has the top projection at any position, 26.1, but his last three average 19.2, 6.9 under that number, against 25.8 for the season. Joe Burrow has the hottest recent run at 32.6 PPG and a 22.4 projection. Drake Maye is the steadiest of the group: 23 projected, 22.7 over his last three. Only 1 quarterback is in Tier 1, so the call is simple if you own him. Everyone else here is Tier 2 or lower.
Running backs
| Tier | Player | Proj | Season PPG | Last 3 | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | 24.6 | 26.2 | 18.5 | Active |
| 1 | Christian McCaffrey (SF) | 22.5 | 20.8 | 25.1 | Active |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III (KC) | 21.1 | 24.6 | 19.5 | Active |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson (ATL) | 20 | 20 | 17.2 | Active |
| 3 | Chuba Hubbard (CAR) | 18 | 18.3 | 16.2 | Active |
| 3 | Kyren Williams (LAR) | 17.9 | 17.7 | 13.4 | Active |
Jahmyr Gibbs is the top back at 24.6, with 26.2 per game this year and 18.5 over his last three. Christian McCaffrey is next at 22.5 and his last three are the best of the group at 25.1. Kenneth Walker III is projected 3.5 below his season average, the biggest dip in this table, and Christian McCaffrey is projected 1.7 above his, the biggest bump. 2 backs sit in Tier 1.
Wide receivers
| Tier | Player | Proj | Season PPG | Last 3 | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) | 24.5 | 25.8 | 22.4 | Active |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | 20.3 | 22.4 | 23.6 | Active |
| 2 | Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) | 19.8 | 20 | 26.6 | Active |
| 2 | Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | 19.5 | 19.7 | 17.8 | Active |
| 2 | Chris Olave (NO) | 18.6 | 17.7 | 14.2 | Active |
| 3 | Malik Nabers (NYG) | 17.3 | 16.2 | 18.6 | Active |
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the top receiver at 24.5, the third-highest projection of any player behind only Josh Allen and Jahmyr Gibbs, and 4.2 ahead of the next receiver. CeeDee Lamb is projected 2.1 below his season average, the biggest dip in this table, while Malik Nabers is projected 1.1 above his, the biggest bump. 1 receiver is in Tier 1.
Tight ends
| Tier | Player | Proj | Season PPG | Last 3 | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Bowers (LV) | 17.1 | 20.9 | 21.3 | Active |
| 1 | George Kittle (SF) | 16.2 | 14.3 | 14.2 | Active |
| 1 | Trey McBride (ARI) | 15.6 | 18.1 | 19.9 | Active |
| 2 | Sam LaPorta (DET) | 12.8 | 11.6 | 5.5 | Active |
Brock Bowers (17.1) is 0.9 points clear of George Kittle (16.2), and Trey McBride (15.6) joins them in Tier 1 with 19.9 over his last three. The biggest step on the board comes after that trio: Sam LaPorta is 2.8 points lower at 12.8, with a 5.5 last three. A tight end in that range is a streamer call.
Flex ties: 4 pairs share a projection
When two flex options carry the same number, the projection cannot decide it. Last-three scoring can. Each pair below is sorted with the higher last-three first. The list covers the top 24 flex-eligible players by projection.
| Player | Pos | Proj | Season PPG | Last 3 | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams (DAL) | RB | 17.9 | 17.7 | 16.9 | Active |
| Kyren Williams (LAR) | RB | 17.9 | 17.7 | 13.4 | Active |
| Brock Bowers (LV) | TE | 17.1 | 20.9 | 21.3 | Active |
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | RB | 17.1 | 17.1 | 11.7 | Active |
| Christian Watson (GB) | WR | 16.5 | 19.7 | 19.4 | Active |
| Drake London (ATL) | WR | 16.5 | 13.5 | 11.1 | Active |
| Bhayshul Tuten (JAX) | RB | 16.4 | 15.9 | 21.2 | Active |
| Zay Flowers (BAL) | WR | 16.4 | 15.9 | 11 | Active |
At 17.9, Javonte Williams has the better last three (16.9 to 13.4) over Kyren Williams. At 17.1, Brock Bowers has the better last three (21.3 to 11.7) over Jonathan Taylor. At 16.5, Christian Watson has the better last three (19.4 to 11.1) over Drake London. At 16.4, Bhayshul Tuten has the better last three (21.2 to 11) over Zay Flowers. Every player in these pairs is Active, so last-three scoring is the only tiebreak. The flex start/sit page lists the whole board.
When the last three games disagree with the projection
Among the top 40 projections, these are the widest gaps between last-three PPG and the Week 10 number.
| Player | Pos | Proj | Last 3 | Last 3 minus proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tee Higgins | WR | 16.9 | 28.2 | +11.3 |
| Joe Burrow | QB | 22.4 | 32.6 | +10.2 |
| Jordan Love | QB | 17.2 | 24.9 | +7.7 |
| Jared Goff | QB | 18.8 | 10.8 | -8 |
| Bryce Young | QB | 19.8 | 12 | -7.8 |
| Josh Allen | QB | 26.1 | 19.2 | -6.9 |
The top three have scored more than their projection, the bottom three less. A gap is a flag, not an order, and three games is a small sample.
How to use this
- Start Tier 1 at every position. You do not need to out-think it.
- Fill flex from the highest projection. Break ties on last-three scoring.
- Read the tag. None of the 22 players in the position tables carries one, but 10 Out players still show a projection of 10 or more.
- Go deeper. The Week 10 start/sit page covers more players, and the start/sit tool compares two of yours head to head.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the top fantasy quarterbacks to start in Week 10?
By PPR projection as of Nov 10, 2026: Josh Allen (26.1), Drake Maye (23), Brock Purdy (22.9), Joe Burrow (22.4).
Who should I start at flex in Week 10?
4 pairs tie. At 17.9, Javonte Williams has the better last three (16.9 to 13.4) over Kyren Williams. Last-three PPG separates each pair.
Is Jahmyr Gibbs a must-start in Week 10?
By the numbers, yes. He is projected for 24.6, the top running back number, and averages 26.2 per game over 8 games.
Does a projection mean a player is playing?
No. 10 players listed Out still carry a Week 10 projection of 10 or more, led by Garrett Wilson at 14.3. Check the tag first.
Should I trust projections or recent scoring?
Use projections first and recent scoring as the tie-breaker. When last-three PPG is far from the projection, treat it as a flag, not an answer.
More from the blog
- Week 10 Fantasy Breakouts: Last 3 Games vs Season PPG
- Dynasty Rookie Risers and Fallers Week 10: Who Moved Since Nov 4
- Dynasty Buy-Low and Sell-High Trade Targets Week 10
Numbers as of November 10, 2026. Live values move daily, so check the linked pages for today’s. Fantasy football is for fun. This is data, not betting advice.